機関投資家の資金流入か、CMEビットコイン先物の「OI」がレイバー・デイ後に30%増

CMEビットコイン先物の未決済建玉30%増
3日の米レイバー・デー後、CMEビットコイン先物の未決済建玉(OI)が約30%増加したことが分かった。下落基調だった8月を経て、機関投資家マネーの流入も注目されている。

CMEビットコイン先物の未決済建玉30%増

米「レイバー・デー」で、米NY証券市場や世界最大級の金融先物取引所「CME(シカゴ・マーカンタイル取引所)」のビットコイン先物取引が休場となった3日。その翌日の仮想通貨市場では、CMEビットコイン先物の未決済建玉(OI)に、約30%の増加が確認された。

8月中旬以降のビットコイン(BTC)下落に伴い減少し続けていたCME未決済建玉は、8月28日に約1.9億ドルまで低下、6月下旬以来の水準を見せていた。しかし、レイバー・デーに1万ドル水準を回復したビットコイン(BTC)価格上昇を背景に、CME再開時のBTC先物の未決済建玉も増加し、約2.5億ドルに達している。

CMEの利用顧客は大半が機関投資家であり、未決済建玉増加は、機関マネーの流入を示す重要指標とされている。

今回、未決済建玉の増加と価格の高騰における関連性について、著名経済アナリストAlex Kruger氏は、BTCの高騰はCME取引時間終了後(9月2日)に発生したと指摘。下図のように、CMEのビットコインチャートにおける「ギャップ(窓開け)」を指摘した。

5〜6月の強気相場では、CMEチャートで計3回の大きなギャップが生じた。

当時、多くのアナリストはギャップを埋める理由として、8,500ドル、7200ドルにまで価格調整する可能性があると指摘していたが、現時点ではギャップを埋めたのは先週(8月27〜29日)の急落のみで、9,500まで一時下落したに過ぎない。

“CME just opened with it’s 3th gap”

CoinPostの注目記事

29日未明のビットコイン急落、コインベースの”連続売り”がトリガーか|仮想通貨分析企業が調査
仮想通貨分析企業Coin Metricsの調査によると、29日のビットコイン急落はコインベースにおける”連続売り”がトリガーとなった可能性が高い。価格操作の兆候はみられなかったと結論づけている。
仮想通貨「最重要ファンダ」予定表:ビットコイン、リップル(XRP)、イーサリアム、ネム等【9/5更新】
バイナンスが9月12日、米国ユーザーのサービス停止を実施; Bakktがビットコイン入金および先物取引を開始するなどの重要材料。

Source: 仮想通貨ニュースサイト-CoinPost

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